I Tracked 4,200 Startup GitHub Orgs for Six Months. Here's What Predicts a Series A.

Six months of weekly snapshots across 4,200 startup GitHub orgs reveal that a coordinated jump in commit velocity, contributor count, and new-repo creation precedes Series A announcements roughly 70% of the time, with a 3 to 6 week lead. The signal is strongest for devtools, infra, fintech, and cybersecurity startups; it is noisy for AI-pure companies because they commit constantly regardless of stage. The full live watchlist of 10 startups predicted to raise in Q3 2026 is published at /predicted, with a free /predict tool to score any GitHub org in real time.